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Ukraine Wind Market: Outlook 2016÷2025

Ukraine Photovoltaic Market: Outlook 2016÷2025 - Single User

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This market report offers an incisive and reliable overview of the photovoltaic sector of the country for the period 2016 ÷ 2025...

Update: June, 2017
Format: 1 file(s) (PDF report) in English language
Author: Renewable Market WatchTM
Pages: 132
Report production №: RMWIN3492016220
Delivery:
24 - 48 hours by e-mail

  • This market report offers an incisive and reliable overview of the photovoltaic sector of the country. Cumulative installed PV capacity in the country was only 3 MWp in 2010, but grew up to 140 MWp in 2011 and exceeded 831 MWp at the end of 2015, making Ukraine one of the fastest growing photovoltaic markets in the region. The report provides a complete picture of the market situation, dynamics, current issues and future prospects. You will find more than 130 pages of valuable information in this unique in-depth analysis of the Ukrainian photovoltaic market.

    With comprehensive market data this report brings clear and concise insights, to help investors in their decision making process. As 2015 and 2016 were challenging years for photovoltaic industry, the time for taking right decisions during 2017 and the next few years is limited. Significant progress achieved in photovoltaic sector development has made Ukraine an undoubted industry leader among the CIS countries by the end of February 2014. After that political turmoil in Ukraine changed the picture in CIS region and  more complex overview of solar PV sector in the country is necessary. Fast changing market environment requires relevant and accurate information. For your convenience we offer opportunity for orders with customized report content.Reasons to buy this market report are, but no limited to:

    • Brief overview of the Ukrainian political and economic environment
    • Solar resource potential in Ukraine
    • Financial Model and Analysis of 5 MW Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power Plant investment in Ukraine (IRR, WACC, Payback, NPV, Cash Flow, etc.)
    • Over 55 charts, tables and maps
    • Overview of Ukrainian photovoltaic market development 2000 ÷ 2025
    • Grid connected photovoltaic power installations for 2016
    • Future market trends and planned photovoltaic projects for 2016 ÷ 2025
    • Current market prices of fully permitted and operational photovoltaic projects
    • Ukrainian legal and energy regulatory framework for renewable projects
    • Key companies and competitive landscape in photovoltaic sector
    • Review of most relevant financing and supporting incentives
    • SWOT Analysis (detailed in 5 pages)

    At next pages you will see the full table of content of this report. To order this report just click on the button "ADD TO CART". If you have any other questions please do not hesitate to call us on ++44 203 60 80 138 or write an e-mail to orders@renewablemarketwatch.com

  • TABLE OF CONTENTS    3
    FOREWORD    8
    1    METHODOLOGY AND LIMITATIONS    10
    1.1    Research Methodology    10
    1.2    Limitations    11
    2    EXECUTIVE SUMMARY    12
    2.1    Historical and Current Development Overview of Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power Market in Ukraine    12
    2.2    Ukraine Solar Resource Potential    13
    2.3    Key Stakeholders Affecting Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power Market Development in Ukraine    13
    2.4    Market Drivers and Constraints    14
    2.5    Key Recent and Pending Changes in Renewable Energy Law in Ukraine    14
    2.6    Market Forecast Summary    15
    3    UKRAINE POLITICAL AND ECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT. PEST ANALYSIS    17
    3.1    Basic Country Data    17
    3.2    Political Climate and Ruling Party    21
    3.3    GDP and Economic Growth    23
    3.4    Taxes    26
    3.4.1    VAT    26
    3.4.2    Income and Corporate Taxes    27
    4    COMMONWEALTH INDEPENDENT STATES (CIS) AND CENTRAL-EAST EUROPE (CEE) POWER MARKET    28
    4.1    General Electricity Market Information    28
    4.2    Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power in Energy Sector    34
    4.3    Single Electricity Market of European Union    39
    4.4    CIS States Common Electricity Market (CIS CEM)    41
    4.5    Electricity Market Concept of Eurasian Economic Union    42
    5    COMMONWEALTH INDEPENDENT STATES (CIS)  PHOTOVOLTAIC (SOLAR PV) POWER MARKET    43
    5.1    Market Overview    43
    5.2    Cumulative (CAGR) Installed Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power Capacity and Revenue    44
    5.3    Annual Installed Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power Capacity and Revenue    45
    5.4    Future Development Trends    46
    6    UKRAINE POWER MARKET    47
    6.1    Electricity Transmission and Distribution    47
    6.2    Electricity Consumption and Generation    50
    6.3    Electricity Imports and Exports    52
    6.4    Electricity Prices for Business and Households    53
    6.5    Renewable Energy Sources (RES) Targets    55
    7    UKRAINE PHOTOVOLTAIC (SOLAR PV) POWER MARKET    57
    7.1    Why Invest in Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power in Ukraine?    57
    7.2    Ukraine Solar Resource Potential    58
    7.3    Licensing Period Duration    60
    7.4    Regional Substation Capacities for Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power Projects in Ukraine    60
    7.5    Overview of Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power Market in Ukraine    60
    7.6    Market Structure Analysis    63
    7.7    Investment Trends and Development Roadmap    64
    7.8    Competitive Environment in Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power Market    64
    7.9    Profiles of Key Players and Investors in Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power Market    66
    7.10    Cumulative (CAGR) Installed Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power Capacity and Revenue    66
    7.11    Annual Installed Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power Capacity and Revenue    68
    7.12    Market Prices for Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power Projects in Ukraine in Development, Ready to Build and Operational (Grid Connected) Condition    68
    7.13    Key Cost Structure Elements of Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power Plant in Ukraine    69
    7.14    Levelized Cost of Energy (LCOE) for Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power in Ukraine    70
    7.15    Key Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power Projects in Ukraine Under Development    70
    7.16    Mergers and Acquisitions    75
    8    DRIVERS AND CONSTRAINTS OF PHOTOVOLTAIC (SOLAR PV) POWER MARKET IN UKRAINE. SWOT ANALYSIS    76
    8.1    Market Drivers    76
    8.2    Market Drivers Explained    76
    8.3    Market Constraints    76
    8.4    Market Constraints Explained    76
    8.5    SWOT Analysis    77
    9    FINANCIAL ANALYSIS OF PHOTOVOLTAIC (SOLAR PV) POWER MARKET IN UKRAINE    80
    9.1    Financing Options of Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power Projects in Ukraine    80
    9.2    Financial Model and Analysis of 5 MW Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power Plant investment in Ukraine (IRR, WACC, Payback, NPV, Cash Flow, etc.)    84
    10    TECHNOLOGY ANALYSIS    87
    10.1    Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power Technology Overview    87
    10.2    Technology Trends    88
    11    CIS COUNTRIES RENEWABLE ENERGY POLICY LANDSCAPE    91
    11.1    RES Regulations and Directives of European Union (EU) affecting CIS countries    91
    11.1.1    Precedent Regulations    91
    11.1.2    EU 2030 Framework for Climate and Energy Policies    92
    11.1.3    EU Energy Roadmap 2050    96
    11.2    Renewable Energy Sources (RES) Strategy for CIS Countries Developed by UN ECE    98
    11.2.1    Development of Educational Activity and Personnel Training    99
    11.3    Renewable Energy Sources (RES) Mandatory Targets for CIS Countries    100
    12    UKRAINE RENEWABLE ENERGY SOURCES (RES) LEGAL AND REGULATORY FRAMEWORK    102
    12.1    Main Laws and Regulations    102
    12.2    Support Schemes    103
    12.3    Key Recent and Pending Changes in Renewable Energy Law in Ukraine    104
    12.4    Zoning, Planning and Construction Related Authorizations    105
    12.5    Environmental Related Authorizations    106
    12.5.1    Natura 2000 Network    106
    12.5.2    Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) and Joint Implementation (JI)    107
    12.6    Energy Law Authorizations    108
    12.6.1    Power Generation Licensing    108
    12.6.2    Grid Interconnection and Quota Limitations    110
    12.6.3    Power Off-Take and Power Purchase Agreement (PPA)    110
    12.6.4    Green Tariff (Feed-in Tariff)    110
    12.6.5    Green Reneable Energy Sources (RES) Certificates (Guarantees of Origin)    112
    12.7    Additional Incentives for Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power Projects in Ukraine    112
    12.8    Future Market Pricing Mechanisms    113
    13    KEY STAKEHOLDERS AFFECTING PHOTOVOLTAIC (SOLAR PV) POWER MARKET DEVELOPMENT IN UKRAINE    114
    13.1    Government Stakeholders    114
    13.2    Non-Government Stakeholders    116
    13.3    Electricity Generation, Transmission System Operator (TSO) and Distribution System Operators (DSO’s)    116
    14    CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS    124
    15    LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS    127
    16    REFERENCES    129
    17    DISCLAIMER    132
    APPENDIX I. SOLAR MAPS OF CIS COUNTRIES AND UKRAINE    133

  • Map 1: Where is Ukraine on the European Map    17
    MAP 2: Ukraine Road Network    18
    MAP 3: Ukraine Administrative Regions Map    19
    MAP 4: Historical Regions of Ukraine    21
    MAP 5: The Synchronous Grids of Europe and CIS States     28
    MAP 6: Interconnection Grid Map of Central-East Europe and CIS States, ENTSO-E    29
    MAP 7: Solar Resource Map of Ukraine   58
    MAP 8: Environment Protected Areas in Ukraine    107
    Map 9: Distribution System Operators (DSO) in Ukraine by Type of Ownership    120
    Map 10: Districts covered by NPP AES Kievoblenergo    122
    Map 11: Solar Irradiation and Solar Electricity Potential for Horizontally Mounted Photovoltaic Modules in Europe and CIS countries    133
    Map 12: Solar Irradiation and Solar Electricity Potential for Optimally Inclined Photovoltaic Modules in Europe and CIS Countries   134

    Chart 1: Ukraine Real GDP Growth for the Period 2000 ÷ 2025 (including forecast)    24
    Chart 2: Ukraine GDP Growth Compared to EU-27 for the Period 2000 ÷ 2025 (including forecast)    25
    Chart 3: Corporate Tax Income in Selected Central-East Europe (CEE) and Commonwealth Independent States (CIS)     26
    Chart 4: Physical Energy Flows Values in GW in Central-East Europe (CEE) and Commonwealth Independent States (CIS) in 2016    29
    Chart 5: Share of Renewables in Electricity Generation in Selected Central-East Europe (CEE) Countries and Commonwealth Independent States (CIS), 2016 (in %), EuroStat    31
    Chart 6: Average Base Load Electricity Price in Selected European Countries (EUR/MWh): 2008 - 2016    32
    Chart 7: Forecast for RES Generation Capacity by Source Type in the EU to 2020 and 2030 (in GW), ENTSO-E    33
    Chart 8: Net Power Generation Added Capacities in the EU 28 in 2016 (MW), Photovoltaic (Solar PV)Europe, SolarPower Europe    34
    Chart 9: Age of Power Plants in Europe in 2016; SolarPower Europe    35
    Chart 10: Share of New Power Generation Capacities Added in the EU 28 in 2016 (MW), WindPower Europe    36
    Chart 11: Installed Power Generating Capacity per Year (MW) and Renewable Share (in %) 2000 – 2016, WindPower Europe     37
    Chart 12: New Installed and Decommissioned Power Generation Capacity in the EU 27 for 2016 (GW), WindPower Europe     37
    Chart 13: Cumulative (CAGR) Installed Capacity of Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power Plants (in MW) in Commonwealth Independent States (CIS) 2000 ÷ 2025, including forecast    43
    Chart 14: Cumulative (CAGR) Revenue of Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power Plants (in Millions USD) in Commonwealth Independent States (CIS) 2000 ÷ 2025, including forecast    44
    Chart 15: Annual Installed Capacity of Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power Plants (in MW) in Commonwealth Independent States (CIS)  2000 ÷ 2025, including forecast    44
    Chart 16: Annual Revenue of Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power Plants (in Millions USD) Commonwealth Independent States (CIS) 2000 ÷ 2025, including forecast    45
    Chart 17: Existing and Planned High Voltage Power Lines of Ukraine and Interconnection with Neighbor Countries    46
    Chart 18: Electricity Purchase Market Shares at Wholesale Energy Market (WEM) in Ukraine in 2016    47
    Chart 19: Structure of Ukraine Power Market    48
    Chart 20: Share of Renewable Energy Sources (RES) Electricity from Total Installed Power Capacity in Ukraine in 2016    49
    Chart 21: Ukraine Total Annual Electricity Consumption (in TWh) 2000 ÷ 2016    50
    Chart 22: Ukraine Power Generation Capacity Breakdown by Source (Fuel) Type in 2016    50
    Chart 23: Ukraine Electricity Imports and Exports 2000 ÷ 2025 (in TWh) including forecast    52
    Chart 24: Ukraine Targets for Renewable Energy Sources (RES) by 2030 (in %)    55
    Chart 25: Cumulative (CAGR) Installed Capacity of Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power  Plants in Ukraine (in MW) 2000 ÷ 2025, including forecast     66
    Chart 26: Cumulative (CAGR) Revenue of Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power  Plants in Ukraine (in Millions USD) 2000 ÷ 2025, including forecast    66
    Chart 27: Annual Installed Capacity of Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power Plants in Ukraine (in MW) 2000 ÷ 2025, including forecast    67
    Chart 28: Annual Revenue of Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power Plants in Ukraine (in Millions USD) 2000 ÷ 2025, including forecast    67
    Chart 29: Levelized Cost of Energy (LCOE) for Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power in Ukraine    69
    Chart 30: UKEEP Structure    80
    Chart 31: Cumulative Cash Flows and Break-Even Point of 5 MW Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power Plant Investment in Ukraine    85
    Chart 32: Photovoltaic (Solar PV) System Price Evolution (€/MW) 1990 ÷ 2016    88
    Chart 33: Market share of DTEK in electricity sales and distribution in 2016    120

    Table 1: Ukraine Electricity Prices for Business and Households    53
    Table 2: Support Schemes for Renewable Energy Sources (RES) Generation in the EU Countries and CIS Countries    56
    Table 3: Market Prices for Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power Projects in Ukraine for 2016 ÷ 2025 in Development, Ready to Build and Operational (Grid Connected) Condition     68
    Table 4: Key Cost Structure Elements of Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power Plant in Ukraine    68
    Table 5: Database with Major Operational (Grid Connected), Under Construction and Planned Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power Projects in Ukraine    71
    Table 6: Key Financial Parameters of 5 MW Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power Plant Investment in Ukraine    84
    Table 7: Key Financial Viability Indicators of 5 MW Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power Plant Investment in Ukraine (IRR, NPV, Payback, Benefit-Cost)    84
    Table 8: Project Costs and Savings (Income) Summary of 5 MW Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power Plant Investment in Ukraine    84
    Table 9: Yearly Cash Flows of 5 MW Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power Plant Investment in Ukraine (Pre-tax, After-tax, Cumulative)    85
    Table 10: Crystalline Module Price Trend in April 2017    89
    Table 11: Feed-in-tariffs for Electricity from Renewable Energy Sources (RES) in Ukraine    110
    Table 12: Local Procurement Component Requirements for Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power Plants in Ukraine    112