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Ukraine Solar Photovoltaic (PV) Power Market Outlook 2019 - 2028

Ukraine Solar Photovoltaic (PV) Power Market Outlook 2019÷2028 - Single User

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This market report offers an incisive and reliable overview of the photovoltaic sector of the country for the period 2019 ÷ 2028...

Update: September, 2019
Format: 1 file(s) (PDF report) in English language and 1 file(s) in MS Excel with data from charts and tables
Author: Renewable Market WatchTM
Pages: 120
Report production №:
RMWIN3492019220
Delivery:
Up to 24 hours by e-mail
Subscription: In the report price is included subscription for 1 year period with 4 qurterly updates

  • This market report offers an incisive and reliable overview of the photovoltaic sector of the country. Cumulative installed PV capacity in the country was only 3MW in 2010, but grew up to140 MW in 2011 and exceeded 2,000MW (3GW) at the end of 2018, making Ukraine one of the fastest growing photovoltaic markets in the region. The report provides a complete picture of the market situation, dynamics, current issues and future prospects. You will find more than 120 pages of valuable information in this unique in-depth analysis of the Ukrainian photovoltaic market.

    With comprehensive market data this report brings clear and concise insights, to help investors in their decision making process. As 2017 and 2018 were challenging years for photovoltaic industry, the time for taking right decisions during 2019 and the next few years is limited. Significant progress achieved in photovoltaic sector development has made Ukraine an undoubted industry leader among the CIS countries by the end of February 2014. After that political turmoil in Ukraine changed the picture in CIS region and  more complex overview of solar PV sector in the country is necessary. Fast changing market environment requires relevant and accurate information. For your convenience we offer opportunity for orders with customized report content. Reasons to buy this market report are, but no limited to:

    • Brief overview of the Ukrainian political and economic environment
    • Solar resource potential in Ukraine
    • Financial Model and Analysis of 5 MW Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power Plant investment in Ukraine (IRR, WACC, Payback, NPV, Cash Flow, etc.)
    • Over 55 charts, tables and maps
    • Overview of Ukrainian solar photovoltaic market development 2008 ÷ 2028
    • Grid connected photovoltaic power installations for 2018/2019
    • Future market trends and planned solar photovoltaic projects for 2019 ÷ 2028
    • Current market prices of fully permitted and operational solar photovoltaic projects
    • Ukrainian legal and energy regulatory framework for renewable projects
    • Key companies and competitive landscape in solar photovoltaic sector
    • Review of most relevant financing and supporting incentives
    • SWOT Analysis (detailed in 5 pages)

    At next pages you will see the full table of content of this report. To order this report just click on the button "ADD TO CART". If you have any other questions please do not hesitate to call us on ++44 203 60 80 138 or write an e-mail to orders@renewablemarketwatch.com

  • TABLE OF CONTENTS    3
    FOREWORD    8
    1    METHODOLOGY AND LIMITATIONS    10
    1.1    Research Methodology    10
    1.2    Limitations    11
    2    EXECUTIVE SUMMARY    12
    2.1    Historical and Current Development Overview of Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power Market in Ukraine    12
    2.2    Ukraine Solar Resource Potential    13
    2.3    Key Stakeholders Affecting Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power Market Development in Ukraine    13
    2.4    Market Drivers and Constraints    14
    2.5    Key Recent and Pending Changes in Renewable Energy Law in Ukraine    14
    2.6    Market Forecast Summary    15
    3    UKRAINE POLITICAL AND ECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT. PEST ANALYSIS    17
    3.1    Basic Country Data    17
    3.2    Political Climate and Ruling Party    21
    3.3    GDP and Economic Growth    22
    3.4    Taxes    23
    3.4.1    VAT    24
    3.4.2    Income and Corporate Taxes    24
    4    COMMONWEALTH INDEPENDENT STATES (CIS) AND CENTRAL-EAST EUROPE (CEE) POWER MARKET    25
    4.1    General Electricity Market Information    25
    4.2    Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power in Energy Sector    31
    4.3    Single Electricity Market of European Union    35
    4.4    CIS States Common Electricity Market (CIS CEM)    37
    4.5    Electricity Market Concept of Eurasian Economic Union    37
    5    COMMONWEALTH INDEPENDENT STATES (CIS)  PHOTOVOLTAIC (SOLAR PV) POWER MARKET    38
    5.1    Market Overview    38
    5.2    Cumulative (CAGR) Installed Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power Capacity and Revenue    39
    5.3    Annual Installed Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power Capacity    40
    5.4    Future Development Trends    41
    6    UKRAINE POWER MARKET    42
    6.1    Electricity Transmission and Distribution    42
    6.2    Electricity Consumption and Generation    45
    6.3    Electricity Imports and Exports    47
    6.4    Electricity Prices for Business and Households    48
    6.5    Renewable Energy Sources (RES) Targets    50
    7    UKRAINE PHOTOVOLTAIC (SOLAR PV) POWER MARKET    52
    7.1    Why Invest in Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power in Ukraine?    52
    7.2    Ukraine Solar Resource Potential    54
    7.3    Licensing Period Duration    55
    7.4    Regional Substation Capacities for Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power Projects in Ukraine    55
    7.5    Overview of Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power Market in Ukraine    55
    7.6    Market Structure Analysis    58
    7.7    Investment Trends and Development Roadmap    59
    7.8    Competitive Environment in Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power Market    59
    7.9    Profiles of Key Players and Investors in Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power Market    61
    7.10    Cumulative (CAGR) Installed Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power Capacity and Revenue    61
    7.11    Annual Installed Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power Capacity    62
    7.12    Market Prices for Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power Projects in Ukraine in Development, Ready to Build and Operational (Grid Connected) Condition    63
    7.13    Key Cost Structure Elements of Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power Plant in Ukraine    64
    7.14    Levelized Cost of Energy (LCOE) for Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power in Ukraine    65
    7.15    Key Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power Projects in Ukraine Under Development    65
    7.16    Mergers and Acquisitions    67
    8    DRIVERS AND CONSTRAINTS OF PHOTOVOLTAIC (SOLAR PV) POWER MARKET IN UKRAINE. SWOT ANALYSIS    68
    8.1    Market Drivers    68
    8.2    Market Drivers Explained    68
    8.3    Market Constraints    68
    8.4    Market Constraints Explained    68
    8.5    SWOT Analysis    69
    9    FINANCIAL ANALYSIS OF PHOTOVOLTAIC (SOLAR PV) POWER MARKET IN UKRAINE    72
    9.1    Financing Options of Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power Projects in Ukraine    72
    9.1.1    Ukraine Sustainable Energy Financing Facility (USELF)    72
    9.1.2    Ukraine Energy Efficiency Programme (UKEEP)    75
    9.2    Financial Model and Analysis of 5 MW Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power Plant investment in Ukraine (IRR, WACC, Payback, NPV, Cash Flow, ETC.)    76
    10    TECHNOLOGY ANALYSIS    79
    10.1    Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power Technology Overview    79
    10.2    Technology Trends    80
    11    CIS COUNTRIES RENEWABLE ENERGY POLICY LANDSCAPE    83
    11.1    RES Regulations and Directives of European Union (EU) affecting CIS countries    83
    11.1.1    Precedent Regulations    83
    11.1.2    EU 2030 Framework for Climate and Energy Policies    84
    11.1.3    EU Energy Roadmap 2050    87
    11.2    Renewable Energy Sources (RES) Strategy for CIS Countries Developed by UN ECE    89
    11.2.1    Development of Educational Activity and Personnel Training    90
    11.3    Renewable Energy Sources (RES) Mandatory Targets for CIS Countries    91
    12    UKRAINE RENEWABLE ENERGY SOURCES (RES) LEGAL AND REGULATORY FRAMEWORK    93
    12.1    Main Laws and Regulations    93
    12.2    Support Schemes    93
    12.3    Key Recent and Pending Changes in Renewable Energy Law in Ukraine    94
    12.4    Zoning, Planning and Construction Related Authorizations    95
    12.5    Environmental Related Authorizations    95
    12.5.1    Natura 2000 Network    96
    12.5.2    Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) and Joint Implementation (JI)    97
    12.6    Energy Law Authorizations    98
    12.6.1    Power Generation Licensing    98
    12.6.2    Grid Interconnection and Quota Limitations    99
    12.6.3    Power Off-Take and Power Purchase Agreement (PPA)    99
    12.6.4    Green Tariff (Feed-in Tariff)    100
    12.6.5    Green Reneable Energy Sources (RES) Certificates (Guarantees of Origin)    101
    12.7    Additional Incentives for Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power Projects in Ukraine    101
    12.8    Future Market Pricing Mechanisms    102
    13    KEY STAKEHOLDERS AFFECTING PHOTOVOLTAIC (SOLAR PV) POWER MARKET DEVELOPMENT IN UKRAINE    103
    13.1    Government Stakeholders    103
    13.1.1    The Ministry of Energy and Coal Industry(MECI)    103
    13.1.2    Ministry of Economic Development and Trade (MEDT)    103
    13.1.3    Ukrainian National Energy Regulatory Commission (NERC)    103
    13.1.4    State Agency For Energy Efficiency and Energy Conservation (SAEEEC)    104
    13.1.5    State Environmental Investment Agency (SEIA)    104
    13.1.6    Ministry of Ecology and Natural Resources (MENR)    104
    13.1.7    Ministry of Agriculture and Food (MAF)    105
    13.2    Non-Government Stakeholders    105
    13.3    Electricity Generation, Transmission System Operator (TSO) and Distribution System Operators (DSO’s)    105
    13.3.1    Capacity of the Electricity Network    106
    13.3.2    National Electricity Company UKRENERGO (TSO)    106
    13.3.3    Energorynok    107
    13.3.4    Distribution System Opeartors (Oblenergos)    108
    13.3.5    DTEK    109
    13.3.6    Energy Standard Group S.A.    110
    13.3.7    AES    111
    13.3.8    VS Energy    112
    13.3.9    Privat Group    112
    14    CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS    113
    15    LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS    115
    16    REFERENCES    117
    17    DISCLAIMER    120
    APPENDIX I. SOLAR MAPS OF CIS COUNTRIES AND UKRAINE    121

  • MAP 1: Where is Ukraine on the European Map    17
    MAP 2: Ukraine Road Network    18
    MAP 3: Ukraine Administrative Regions Map    19
    MAP 4: Historical Regions of Ukraine    20
    MAP 5: The Synchronous Grids of Europe and CIS States     25
    MAP 6: Interconnection Grid Map of Central-East Europe and CIS States    26
    MAP 7: Solar Resource Map of Ukraine    53
    MAP 8: Environment Protected Areas in Ukraine    96
    Map 9: Distribution System Operators (DSO) in Ukraine by Type of Ownership    109
    Map 10: Districts covered by NPP AES Kievoblenergo    111
    Map 11: Solar Irradiation and Solar Electricity Potential for Horizontally Mounted Photovoltaic Modules in Europe and CIS countries    121
    Map 12: Solar Irradiation and Solar Electricity Potential for Optimally Inclined Photovoltaic Modules in Europe and CIS Countries    122

    Chart 1: Ukraine Real GDP Growth for the Period 2008 ÷ 2028 (including forecast) 22
    Chart 2: Ukraine GDP Growth Compared to EU-27 for the Period 2008 ÷ 2028 (including forecast) 23
    Chart 3: Corporate Tax Income in Selected Central-East Europe (CEE) and Commonwealth Independent States (CIS) 24
    Chart 4: Breakdown of Electricity Production by Source Type in the EU-28 in 2019 (in %)  28
    Chart 5: Share of Renewables in Electricity Generation in Selected Central-East Europe (CEE) and South-East Europe (SEE) Countries, 2019 (in %) 29
    Chart 6: Average Base Load Electricity Price in Selected European Countries (EUR/MWh): 2008 - 2019 29
    Chart 7: Forecast for RES Generation Capacity by Source Type in the EU to 2020 and 2030 (in GW) 30
    Chart 8: New Installed and Decommissioned Power Capacity by Source Type in the EU in 2019 (MW) 31
    Chart 9: Age of Power Plants in Europe in 2019 in MW 32
    Chart 10: Share of New Power Generation Capacities Added in the EU 28 in 2019 (MW) 33
    Chart 11: Annual Installed Power Generating Capacity (MW) and Renewable Share (in %) 2009 – 2019 in the EU 34
    Chart 12: Net Installed and Decommissioned Power Generation Capacity in the EU 28 for 2019 (GW) 34
    Chart 13: Cumulative (CAGR) Installed Capacity of Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power Plants (in MW) in Commonwealth Independent States (CIS) 2008 ÷ 2028, including forecast 39
    Chart 14: Cumulative (CAGR) Revenue of Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power Plants (in Millions USD) in Commonwealth Independent States (CIS) 2008 ÷ 2028, including forecast 40
    Chart 15: Annual Installed Capacity of Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power Plants (in MW) in Commonwealth Independent States (CIS) 2008 ÷ 2028, including forecast 40
    Chart 16: Existing and Planned High Voltage Power Lines of Ukraine and Interconnection with Neighbor Countries 42
    Chart 17: Electricity Purchase Market Shares at Wholesale Energy Market (WEM) in Ukraine in 2019 43
    Chart 18: Structure of Ukraine Power Market 44
    Chart 19: Share of Renewable Energy Sources (RES) Capacity from Total Installed Power Capacity in Ukraine in 2019 45
    Chart 20: Ukraine Total Annual Electricity Consumption (in TWh) 2009 ÷ 2019 46
    Chart 21: Ukraine Power Generation Capacity Breakdown by Source (Fuel) Type in 2019 46
    Chart 22: Ukraine Electricity Imports and Exports 2008 ÷ 2028 (in TWh) including forecast 48
    Chart 23: Ukraine Targets for Renewable Energy Sources (RES) by 2030 (in %) 51
    Chart 24: Cumulative (CAGR) Installed Capacity of Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power Plants in Ukraine (in MW) 2008 ÷ 2028, including forecast 62
    Chart 25: Cumulative (CAGR) Revenue of Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power Plants in Ukraine (in Millions USD) 2008 ÷ 2028, including forecast 62
    Chart 26: Annual Installed Capacity of Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power Plants in Ukraine (in MW) 2008 ÷ 2028, including forecast 63
    Chart 27: Levelized Cost of Energy (LCOE) for Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power in Ukraine 65
    Chart 28: UKEEP Structure 73
    Chart 29: Cumulative Cash Flows and Break-Even Point of 5 MW Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power Plant Investment in Ukraine 78
    Chart 30: Photovoltaic (Solar PV) System Price Evolution (€/MW) 1990 ÷ 2019 80
    Chart 31: Market share of DTEK in electricity sales and distribution in 2019 110

    Table 1: Ukraine Electricity Prices for Business and Households 48
    Table 2: Support Schemes for Renewable Energy Sources (RES) Generation in the EU Countries and CIS Countries 51
    Table 3: Market Prices for Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power Projects in Ukraine for 2019 ÷ 2028 in Development, Ready to Build and Operational (Grid Connected) Condition (2019 Update) 63
    Table 4: Key Cost Structure Elements of Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power Plant in Ukraine 63
    Table 5: Database with Major Operational (Grid Connected), Under Construction and Planned Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power Projects in Ukraine 65
    Table 6: Key Financial Parameters of 5 MW Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power Plant Investment in Ukraine 76
    Table 7: Key Financial Viability Indicators of 5 MW Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power Plant Investment in Ukraine (IRR, NPV, Payback, Benefit-Cost) 76
    Table 8: Project Costs and Savings (Income) Summary of 5 MW Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power Plant Investment in Ukraine 76
    Table 9: Yearly Cash Flows of 5 MW Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power Plant Investment in Ukraine (Pre-tax, After-tax, Cumulative) 77
    Table 10: Crystalline Module Price Trend in 2019 80
    Table 11: Feed-in-tariffs for Electricity from Renewable Energy Sources (RES) in Ukraine 100
    Table 12: Local Content Requirements for Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Power Plants in Ukraine 101

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