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Ukraine Wind Market: Outlook 2016÷2025

Ukraine Wind Market: Outlook 2016÷2025 - Single User

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This market report offers an incisive and reliable overview of the wind energy sector of the country for the period 2016 ÷ 2025...

Update: June, 2017
Format: 1 files (PDF report) in English language
Author: Renewable Market WatchTM
Pages: 128
Report production №: RMWIN3492016221
Delivery:
24 - 48 hours by e-mail

  • This market report offers an incisive and reliable overview of the wind sector of the country. By the end of 2009 cumulative installed wind capacity in the country was insignificant, but grew up to 551 MW in 2015. The report provides a complete picture of the market situation, dynamics, current issues and future prospects. You will find more than 125 pages of valuable information in this unique in-depth analysis of the Ukrainian wind market. With comprehensive market data this report brings clear and concise insights, to help investors in their decision making process. As 2016 was challenging year for wind industry, the time for taking riisions during 2017/2018 is limited. Significant progress achieved in wind power sector development has made Ukraine an undoubted industry leader among the CIS countries by the end of February 2014. After that political turmoil in Ukraine changed the picture in CIS region and more complex overview of wind power sector in the country is necessary. Fast changing market environment, requires relevant and accurate information. For your convenience we offer opportunity for orders with customized report content. Reasons to buy this market report are, but no limited to:

    • Overview of the Ukrainian political and economic environment
    • Wind resource potential in Ukraine
    • Financial Model and Analysis of 50 MW Wind Power Plant investment in Ukraine (IRR, WACC, Payback, NPV, Cash Flow, etc.)
    • Over 55 charts, tables and maps
    • Overview of Ukrainian wind market development 2000 ÷ 2025
    • Grid connected wind power installations for 2016
    • Future market trends and planned wind projects for 2016 ÷ 2025
    • Market prices of fully permitted and operational wind projects
    • Ukrainian legal and energy regulatory framework for renewable projects
    • Key companies and competitive landscape in wind sector
    • Review of most relevant financing and supporting incentives
    • SWOT Analysis (detailed in 5 pages)

    At next pages you will see the full table of content of this report. To order this report just click on the button "ADD TO CART". If you have any other questions please do not hesitate to call us on ++44 203 60 80 138 or write an e-mail to orders@renewablemarketwatch.com

  • TABLE OF CONTENTS    3
    FOREWORD    8
    1    METHODOLOGY AND LIMITATIONS    10
    1.1    Research Methodology    10
    1.2    Limitations    11
    2    EXECUTIVE SUMMARY    12
    2.1    Historical and Current Development Overview of Wind Power Market in Ukraine    12
    2.2    Ukraine Wind Resource Potential    13
    2.3    Key Stakeholders Affecting Wind Power Market Development in Ukraine    13
    2.4    Market Drivers and Constraints    14
    2.5    Key Recent and Pending Changes in Renewable Energy Law in Ukraine    14
    2.6    Market Forecast Summary    15
    3    UKRAINE POLITICAL AND ECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT. PEST ANALYSIS    17
    3.1    Basic Country Data    17
    3.2    Political Climate and Ruling Party    21
    3.3    GDP and Economic Growth    23
    3.4    Taxes    26
    3.4.1    VAT    26
    3.4.2    Income and Corporate Taxes    27
    4    COMMONWEALTH INDEPENDENT STATES (CIS) AND CENTRAL-EAST EUROPE (CEE) POWER MARKET    27
    4.1    General Electricity Market Information    27
    4.2    Wind Power in Energy Sector    34
    4.3    Single Electricity Market of European Union    38
    4.4    CIS States Common Electricity Market (CIS CEM)    41
    4.5    Electricity Market Concept of Eurasian Economic Union    41
    5    COMMONWEALTH INDEPENDENT STATES (CIS)  WIND POWER MARKET    42
    5.1    Market Overview    42
    5.2    Cumulative (CAGR) Installed Wind Power Capacity and Revenue    43
    5.3    Annual Installed Wind Power Capacity and Revenue    44
    5.4    Future Development Trends    45
    6    UKRAINE POWER MARKET    46
    6.1    Electricity Transmission and Distribution    46
    6.2    Electricity Consumption and Generation    49
    6.3    Electricity Imports and Exports    50
    6.4    Electricity Prices for Business and Households    52
    6.5    Renewable Energy Sources (RES) Targets    54
    7    UKRAINE WIND POWER MARKET    56
    7.1    Why Invest in Wind Power in Ukraine?    56
    7.2    Ukraine Wind Resource Potential    57
    7.3    Licensing Period Duration    58
    7.4    Regional Substation Capacities for Wind Power Projects in Ukraine    59
    7.5    Overview of Wind Power Market in Ukraine    59
    7.6    Market Structure Analysis    62
    7.7    Investment Trends and Development Roadmap    62
    7.8    Competitive Environment in Wind Power Market    63
    7.9    Profiles of Key Players and Investors in Wind Power Market    65
    7.10    Cumulative (CAGR) Installed Wind Power Capacity and Revenue    65
    7.11    Annual Installed Wind Power Capacity and Revenue    66
    7.12    Market Prices for Wind Power Projects in Ukraine in Development, Ready to Build and Operational (Grid Connected) Condition    67
    7.13    Key Cost Structure Elements of Wind Power Plant in Ukraine    68
    7.14    Levelized Cost of Energy (LCOE) for Wind Power in Ukraine    68
    7.15    Key Wind Power Projects in Ukraine Under Development    68
    7.16    Mergers and Acquisitions    73
    8    DRIVERS AND CONSTRAINTS OF WIND POWER MARKET IN UKRAINE. SWOT ANALYSIS    73
    8.1    Market Drivers    74
    8.2    Market Drivers Explained    74
    8.3    Market Constraints    74
    8.4    Market Constraints Explained    74
    8.5    SWOT Analysis    74
    9    FINANCIAL ANALYSIS OF WIND POWER MARKET IN UKRAINE    78
    9.1    Financing Options of Wind Power Projects in Ukraine    78
    9.2    Financial Model and Analysis of 50 MW Wind Power Plant investment in Ukraine (IRR, WACC, Payback, NPV, Cash Flow, etc.)    82
    10    TECHNOLOGY ANALYSIS    85
    10.1    Wind Power Technology Overview    85
    10.2    Technology Trends    86
    11    CIS COUNTRIES RENEWABLE ENERGY POLICY LANDSCAPE    88
    11.1    RES Regulations and Directives of European Union (EU) affecting CIS countries    88
    11.1.1    Precedent Regulations    89
    11.1.2    EU 2030 Framework for Climate and Energy Policies    90
    11.1.3    EU Energy Roadmap 2050    93
    11.2    Renewable Energy Sources (RES) Strategy for CIS Countries Developed by UN ECE    96
    11.2.1    Development of Educational Activity and Personnel Training    97
    11.3    Renewable Energy Sources (RES) Mandatory Targets for CIS Countries    98
    12    UKRAINE RENEWABLE ENERGY SOURCES (RES) LEGAL AND REGULATORY FRAMEWORK    99
    12.1    Main Laws and Regulations    99
    12.2    Support Schemes    101
    12.3    Key Recent and Pending Changes in Renewable Energy Law in Ukraine    102
    12.4    Zoning, Planning and Construction Related Authorizations    102
    12.5    Environmental Related Authorizations    103
    12.5.1    Natura 2000 Network    104
    12.5.2    Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) and Joint Implementation (JI)    105
    12.6    Energy Law Authorizations    105
    12.6.1    Power Generation Licensing    105
    12.6.2    Grid Interconnection and Quota Limitations    107
    12.6.3    Power Off-Take and Power Purchase Agreement (PPA)    107
    12.6.4    Green Tariff (Feed-in Tariff)    107
    12.6.5    Green Reneable Energy Sources (RES) Certificates (Guarantees of Origin)    109
    12.7    Additional Incentives for Wind Power Projects in Ukraine    109
    12.8    Future Market Pricing Mechanisms    110
    13    KEY STAKEHOLDERS AFFECTING WIND POWER MARKET DEVELOPMENT IN UKRAINE    111
    13.1    Government Stakeholders    111
    13.2    Non-Government Stakeholders    113
    13.3    Electricity Generation, Transmission System Operator (TSO) and Distribution System Operators (DSO’s)    113
    14    CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS    121
    15    LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS    124
    16    REFERENCES    126
    17    DISCLAIMER    129
    APPENDIX I. WIND RESOURCE MAPS OF CIS COUNTRIES AND UKRAINE    130

  • Map 1: Where is Ukraine on the European Map    16
    MAP 2: Ukraine Road Network    17
    MAP 3: Ukraine Administrative Regions Map    19
    MAP 4: Historical Regions of Ukraine    20
    MAP 5: The Synchronous Grids of Europe and CIS States   27
    MAP 6: Interconnection Grid Map of Central-East Europe and CIS States, ENTSO-E    28
    MAP 7: Wind Resource Map of Ukraine at 80 m.a.g.l.    56
    MAP 8: Environment Protected Areas in Ukraine    103
    Map 9: Distribution System Operators (DSO) in Ukraine by Type of Ownership    116
    Map 10: Districts covered by NPP AES Kievoblenergo    118
    Map 11: Mean Wind Speed in CIS Countries at 80 m.a.g.l., 3TIER Inc.   129
    Map 12: Global Mean Wind Speed at 80 m.a.g.l., 3TIER Inc.    130

    Chart 1: Ukraine Real GDP Growth for the Period 2000 ÷ 2025 (including forecast)    24
    Chart 2: Ukraine GDP Growth Compared to EU-27 for the Period 2000 ÷ 2025 (including forecast)    25
    Chart 3: Corporate Tax Income in Selected Central-East Europe (CEE) and Commonwealth Independent States (CIS)     26
    Chart 4: Physical Energy Flows Values in GW in Central-East Europe (CEE) and Commonwealth Independent States (CIS) in 2016    29
    Chart 5: Share of Renewables in Electricity Generation in Selected Central-East Europe (CEE) Countries and Commonwealth Independent States (CIS), 2016 (in %), EuroStat    31
    Chart 6: Average Base Load Electricity Price in Selected European Countries (EUR/MWh): 2008 - 2016    32
    Chart 7: Forecast for RES Generation Capacity by Source Type in the EU to 2020 and 2030 (in GW), ENTSO-E    33
    Chart 8: Net Power Generation Added Capacities in the EU 28 in 2016 (MW), WindEurope, SolarPower Europe    34
    Chart 9: Age of Power Plants in Europe in 2016; SolarPower Europe    35
    Chart 10: Share of New Power Generation Capacities Added in the EU 28 in 2016 (MW), WindEurope    36
    Chart 11: Installed Power Generating Capacity per Year (MW) and Renewable Share (in %) 2000 – 2016, WindEurope     36
    Chart 12: New Installed and Decommissioned Power Generation Capacity in the EU 27 for 2016 (GW), WindEurope     37
    Chart 13: Cumulative (CAGR) Installed Capacity of Wind Power Plants (in MW) in Commonwealth Independent States (CIS) 2000 ÷ 2025, including forecast    42
    Chart 14: Cumulative (CAGR)  Revenue of Wind Power Plants (in Millions USD) in Commonwealth Independent States (CIS) 2000 ÷ 2025, including forecast    43
    Chart 15: Annual Installed Capacity of Wind Power Plants (in MW) in Commonwealth Independent States (CIS)  2000 ÷ 2025, including forecast    43
    Chart 16: Annual Revenue of Wind Power Plants (in Millions USD) Commonwealth Independent States (CIS)  2000 ÷ 2025, including forecast    44
    Chart 17: Existing and Planned High Voltage Power Lines of Ukraine and Interconnection with Neighbor Countries    45
    Chart 18: Electricity Purchase Market Shares at Wholesale Energy Market (WEM) in Ukraine in 2016    46
    Chart 19: Structure of Ukraine Power Market    47
    Chart 20: Share of RES electricity from Total Installed Power Capacity in Ukraine in 2016    48
    Chart 21: Ukraine Total Annual Electricity Consumption (in TWh) 2000 ÷ 2016    49
    Chart 22: Ukraine Power Generation Capacity Breakdown by Source (Fuel) Type in 2016    49
    Chart 23: Ukraine Electricity Imports and Exports 2000 ÷ 2025 (in TWh) including forecast    51
    Chart 24: Ukraine Targets for Renewable Energy Sources (RES) by 2030 (in %)    54
    Chart 25: Cumulative (CAGR) Installed Capacity of Wind Power  Plants in Ukraine (in MW) 2000 ÷ 2025, including forecast     64
    Chart 26: Cumulative (CAGR) Revenue of Wind Power  Plants in Ukraine (in Millions USD) 2000 ÷ 2025, including forecast    65
    Chart 27: Annual Installed Capacity of Wind Power Plants in Ukraine (in MW) 2000 ÷ 2025, including forecast    65
    Chart 28: Annual Revenue of Wind Power Plants in Ukraine (in Millions USD) 2000 ÷ 2025, including forecast    66
    Chart 29: Levelized Cost of Energy (LCOE) for Wind Power in Ukraine    67
    Chart 30: UKEEP Structure    78
    Chart 31: Cumulative Cash Flows and Break-Even Point of 50 MW Wind Power Plant Investment in Ukraine    83
    Chart 32: Wind Power System Price Evolution (€/MW) 1990 ÷ 2016    85
    Chart 33: Market share of DTEK in electricity sales and distribution in 2016    117

    Table 1: Ukraine Electricity Prices for Business and Households    52
    Table 2: Support Schemes for Renewable Energy Sources (RES) Generation in the EU Countries and CIS Countries    55
    Table 3: Market Prices for Wind Power Projects in Ukraine for 2016 ÷ 2025 in Development, Ready to Build and Operational (Grid Connected) Condition     66
    Table 4: Key Cost Structure Elements of Wind Power Plant in Ukraine    67
    Table 5: Database with Major Operational (Grid Connected), Under Construction and Planned Wind Power Projects in Ukraine    69
    Table 6: Key Financial Parameters of 50 MW Wind Power Plant Investment in Ukraine    81
    Table 7: Key Financial Viability Indicators of 50 MW Wind Power Plant Investment in Ukraine (IRR, NPV, Payback, Benefit-Cost)    82
    Table 8: Project Costs and Savings (Income) Summary of 50 MW Wind Power Plant Investment in Ukraine    82
    Table 9: Yearly Cash Flows of 50 MW Wind Power Plant Investment in Ukraine (Pre-tax, After-tax, Cumulative)    83
    Table 10: Wind Turbine Prices in 2017    86
    Table 11: Feed-in-tariffs for Electricity from Renewable Energy Sources (RES) in Ukraine    107
    Table 12: Local Procurement Component Requirements for Wind Power Plants in Ukraine    109