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Ukraine Wind Power Market Outlook 2019 - 2028

Ukraine Wind Power Market: Outlook 2019÷2028 - Single User

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This market report offers an incisive and reliable overview of the wind energy sector of the country for the period 2019 ÷ 2028...

Update: September, 2019
Format: 1 file(s) (PDF report) in English language and 1 file(s) in MS Excel with data from charts and tables
Author: Renewable Market WatchTM
Pages: 128
Report production №:
RMWIN3492019221
Delivery:
Up to 24 hours by e-mail
Subscription: In the report price is included subscription for 1 year period with 4 qurterly updates

  • This market report offers an incisive and reliable overview of the wind sector of the country. By the end of 2009 cumulative installed wind capacity in the country was insignificant, but grew up to 621 MW in 2018. The report provides a complete picture of the market situation, dynamics, current issues and future prospects. You will find more than 125 pages of valuable information in this unique in-depth analysis of the Ukrainian wind market. With comprehensive market data this report brings clear and concise insights, to help investors in their decision making process. As 2017 and 2018 were challenging years for wind industry, the time for taking riisions during 2019 is limited. Significant progress achieved in wind power sector development has made Ukraine an undoubted industry leader among the CIS countries by the end of February 2014. After that political turmoil in Ukraine changed the picture in CIS region and more complex overview of wind power sector in the country is necessary. Fast changing market environment, requires relevant and accurate information. For your convenience we offer opportunity for orders with customized report content. Reasons to buy this market report are, but no limited to:

    • Overview of the Ukrainian political and economic environment
    • Wind resource potential in Ukraine
    • Financial Model and Analysis of 50 MW Wind Power Plant investment in Ukraine (IRR, WACC, Payback, NPV, Cash Flow, etc.)
    • Over 55 charts, tables and maps
    • Overview of Ukrainian wind market development 2008 ÷ 2028
    • Grid connected wind power installations for 2018/2019
    • Future market trends and planned wind projects for 2019 ÷ 2028
    • Market prices of fully permitted and operational wind projects
    • Ukrainian legal and energy regulatory framework for renewable projects
    • Key companies and competitive landscape in wind sector
    • Review of most relevant financing and supporting incentives
    • SWOT Analysis (detailed in 5 pages)

    At next pages you will see the full table of content of this report. To order this report just click on the button "ADD TO CART". If you have any other questions please do not hesitate to call us on ++44 203 60 80 138 or write an e-mail to orders@renewablemarketwatch.com

  • TABLE OF CONTENTS    3
    FOREWORD    8
    1    METHODOLOGY AND LIMITATIONS    10
    1.1    Research Methodology    10
    1.2    Limitations    11
    2    EXECUTIVE SUMMARY    12
    2.1    Historical and Current Development Overview of Wind Power Market in Ukraine    12
    2.2    Ukraine Wind Resource Potential    12
    2.3    Key Stakeholders Affecting Wind Power Market Development in Ukraine    13
    2.4    Market Drivers and Constraints    14
    2.5    Key Recent and Pending Changes in Renewable Energy Law in Ukraine    14
    2.6    Market Forecast Summary    15
    3    UKRAINE POLITICAL AND ECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT. PEST ANALYSIS    16
    3.1    Basic Country Data    16
    3.2    Political Climate and Ruling Party    20
    3.3    GDP and Economic Growth    21
    3.4    Taxes    24
    3.4.1    VAT    24
    3.4.2    Income and Corporate Taxes    25
    4    COMMONWEALTH INDEPENDENT STATES (CIS) AND CENTRAL-EAST EUROPE (CEE) POWER MARKET    26
    4.1    General Electricity Market Information    26
    4.2    Wind Power in Energy Sector    33
    4.3    Single Electricity Market of European Union    37
    4.4    CIS States Common Electricity Market (CIS CEM)    39
    4.5    Electricity Market Concept of Eurasian Economic Union    39
    5    COMMONWEALTH INDEPENDENT STATES (CIS)  WIND POWER MARKET    40
    5.1    Market Overview    40
    5.2    Cumulative (CAGR) Installed Wind Power Capacity and Revenue    41
    5.3    Annual Installed NEW Wind Power Capacity    42
    5.4    Future Development Trends    43
    6    UKRAINE POWER MARKET    44
    6.1    Electricity Transmission and Distribution    44
    6.2    Electricity Consumption and Generation    47
    6.3    Electricity Imports and Exports    48
    6.4    Electricity Prices for Business and Households    50
    6.5    Renewable Energy Sources (RES) Targets    51
    7    UKRAINE WIND POWER MARKET    52
    7.1    Why Invest in Wind Power in Ukraine?    52
    7.2    Ukraine Wind Resource Potential    53
    7.3    Licensing Period Duration    54
    7.4    Regional Substation Capacities for Wind Power Projects in Ukraine    55
    7.5    Overview of Wind Power Market in Ukraine    55
    7.6    Market Structure Analysis    57
    7.7    Investment Trends and Development Roadmap    57
    7.8    Competitive Environment in Wind Power Market    57
    7.9    Profiles of Key Players and Investors in Wind Power Market    59
    7.10    Cumulative (CAGR) Installed Wind Power Capacity and Revenue    59
    7.11    Annual Installed Wind Power Capacity    60
    7.12    Market Prices for Wind Power Projects in Ukraine in Development, Ready to Build and Operational (Grid Connected) Condition    61
    7.13    Key Cost Structure Elements of Wind Power Plant in Ukraine    62
    7.14    Levelized Cost of Energy (LCOE) for Wind Power in Ukraine    62
    7.15    Key Wind Power Projects in Ukraine Under Development    62
    7.16    Mergers and Acquisitions    66
    8    DRIVERS AND CONSTRAINTS OF WIND POWER MARKET IN UKRAINE. SWOT ANALYSIS    67
    8.1    Market Drivers    67
    8.2    Market Drivers Explained    67
    8.3    Market Constraints    67
    8.4    Market Constraints Explained    67
    8.5    SWOT Analysis    68
    9    FINANCIAL ANALYSIS OF WIND POWER MARKET IN UKRAINE    71
    9.1    Financing Options of Wind Power Projects in Ukraine    71
    9.1.1    Ukraine Sustainable Energy Financing Facility (USELF)    71
    9.1.2    Ukraine Energy Efficiency Programme (UKEEP)    74
    9.2    Financial Model and Analysis of 50 MW Wind Power Plant investment in Ukraine (IRR, WACC, Payback, NPV, Cash Flow, ETC.)    75
    10    TECHNOLOGY ANALYSIS    78
    10.1    Wind Power Technology Overview    78
    10.2    Technology Trends    79
    11    CIS COUNTRIES RENEWABLE ENERGY POLICY LANDSCAPE    82
    11.1    RES Regulations and Directives of European Union (EU) affecting CIS countries    82
    11.1.1    Precedent EU Regulations    82
    11.1.2    EU 2030 Framework for Climate and Energy Policies    83
    11.1.3    EU Energy Roadmap 2050    86
    11.2    Renewable Energy Sources (RES) Strategy for CIS Countries Developed by UN ECE    88
    11.2.1    Development of Educational Activity and Personnel Training    89
    11.3    Renewable Energy Sources (RES) Mandatory Targets for CIS Countries    90
    12    UKRAINE RENEWABLE ENERGY SOURCES (RES) LEGAL AND REGULATORY FRAMEWORK    92
    12.1    Main Laws and Regulations    92
    12.2    Support Schemes    92
    12.3    Key Recent and Pending Changes in Renewable Energy Law in Ukraine    93
    12.4    Zoning, Planning and Construction Related Authorizations    94
    12.5    Environmental Related Authorizations    95
    12.5.1    Natura 2000 Network    95
    12.5.2    Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) and Joint Implementation (JI)    96
    12.6    Energy Law Authorizations    97
    12.6.1    Power Generation Licensing    97
    12.6.2    Grid Interconnection and Quota Limitations    99
    12.6.3    Power Off-Take and Power Purchase Agreement (PPA)    99
    12.6.4    Green Tariff (Feed-in Tariff)    99
    12.6.5    Green Reneable Energy Sources (RES) Certificates (Guarantees of Origin)    101
    12.7    Additional Incentives for Wind Power Projects in Ukraine    101
    12.8    Future Market Pricing Mechanisms    102
    13    KEY STAKEHOLDERS AFFECTING WIND POWER MARKET DEVELOPMENT IN UKRAINE    103
    13.1    Government Stakeholders    103
    13.2    Non-Government Stakeholders    105
    13.3    Electricity Generation, Transmission System Operator (TSO) and Distribution System Operators (DSO’s)    105
    14    CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS    113
    15    LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS    115
    16    REFERENCES    117
    17    DISCLAIMER    120
    APPENDIX I. WIND MAPS OF CIS COUNTRIES AND UKRAINE    121

  • Map 1: Where is Ukraine on the European Map    16
    MAP 2: Ukraine Road Network    17
    MAP 3: Ukraine Administrative Regions Map    18
    MAP 4: Historical Regions of Ukraine    19
    MAP 5: The Synchronous Grids of Europe and CIS States    25
    MAP 6: Interconnection Grid Map of Central-East Europe and CIS States    26
    MAP 7: Wind Resource Map of Ukraine at 80 m.a.g.l.    52
    MAP 8: Environment Protected Areas in Ukraine    95
    Map 9: Distribution System Operators (DSO) in Ukraine by Type of Ownership    108
    Map 10: Districts covered by NPP AES Kievoblenergo    110
    Map 11: Mean Wind Speed in CIS Countries at 80 m.a.g.l.    120
    Map 12: Global Mean Wind Speed at 80 m.a.g.l. 121

    Chart 1: Ukraine Real GDP Growth for the Period 2008 ÷ 2028 (including forecast) 22
    Chart 2: Ukraine GDP Growth Compared to EU-27 for the Period 2008 ÷ 2028 (including forecast) 23
    Chart 3: Corporate Tax Income in Selected Central-East Europe (CEE) and Commonwealth Independent States (CIS) 24
    Chart 4: Breakdown of Electricity Production by Source Type in the EU-28 in 2019 (in %) 29
    Chart 5: Share of Renewables in Electricity Generation in Selected Central-East Europe (CEE) and South-East Europe (SEE) Countries, 2019 (in %)  30
    Chart 6: Average Base Load Electricity Price in Selected European Countries (€/MWh): 2008 – 2019; Renewable Market WatchTM 30
    Chart 7: Forecast for RES Generation Capacity by Source Type in the EU to 2020 and 2030 (in GW)  31
    Chart 8: New Installed and Decommissioned Power Capacity by Source Type in the EU in 2019 (MW)  32
    Chart 9: Age of Power Plants in Europe in 2019 in MW  33
    Chart 10: Share of New Power Generation Capacities Added in the EU 28 in 2019 (MW)  34
    Chart 11: Annual Installed Power Generating Capacity (MW) and Renewable Share (in %) 2009 – 2019 in the EU 35
    Chart 12: Net Installed and Decommissioned Power Generation Capacity in the EU 28 for 2019 (GW)  35
    Chart 13: Cumulative (CAGR) Installed Capacity of Wind Power Plants (in MW) in Commonwealth Independent States (CIS) 2008 ÷ 2028, including forecast 40
    Chart 14: Cumulative (CAGR) Revenue of Wind Power Plants (in Millions USD) in Commonwealth Independent States (CIS) 2008 ÷ 2028, including forecast 41
    Chart 15: Annual Installed Capacity of Wind Power Plants (in MW) in Commonwealth Independent States (CIS) 2008 ÷ 2028, including forecast 41
    Chart 16: Existing and Planned High Voltage Power Lines of Ukraine and Interconnection with Neighbor Countries 43
    Chart 17: Electricity Purchase Market Shares at Wholesale Energy Market (WEM) in Ukraine in 2019 44
    Chart 18: Structure of Ukraine Power Market 45
    Chart 19: Share of Renewable Energy Sources (RES) Capacity from Total Installed Power Capacity in Ukraine in 2019 46
    Chart 20: Ukraine Total Annual Electricity Consumption (in TWh) 2000 ÷ 2019 47
    Chart 21: Ukraine Power Generation Capacity Breakdown by Source (Fuel) Type in 2019 47
    Chart 22: Ukraine Electricity Imports and Exports 2008 ÷ 2028 (in TWh) including forecast 48
    Chart 23: Ukraine Targets for Renewable Energy Sources (RES) by 2030 (in %) 50
    Chart 24: Cumulative (CAGR) Installed Capacity of Wind Power Plants in Ukraine (in MW) 2008 ÷ 2028, including forecast 59
    Chart 25: Cumulative (CAGR) Revenue of Wind Power Plants in Ukraine (in Millions USD) 2008 ÷ 2028, including forecast 59
    Chart 26: Annual Installed Capacity of Wind Power Plants in Ukraine (in MW) 2008 ÷ 2028, including forecast 60
    Chart 27: Levelized Cost of Energy (LCOE) for Wind Power in Ukraine 61
    Chart 28: UKEEP Structure 71
    Chart 29: Cumulative Cash Flows and Break-Even Point of 50 MW Wind Power Plant Investment in Ukraine 76
    Chart 30: Wind Power System Price Trend (€/MW) 2000 ÷ 2019 78
    Chart 31: Market share of DTEK in electricity sales and distribution in 2019 109

    Table 1: Ukraine Electricity Prices for Business and Households 49
    Table 2: Support Schemes for Renewable Energy Sources (RES) Generation in the EU Countries and CIS Countries 51
    Table 3: Market Prices for Wind Power Projects in Ukraine for 2019 ÷ 2028 in Development, Ready to Build and Operational (Grid Connected) Condition (2019 Update) 60
    Table 4: Key Cost Structure Elements of Wind Power Plant in Ukraine 61
    Table 5: Database with Major Operational (Grid Connected), Under Construction and Planned Wind Power Projects in Ukraine 63
    Table 6: Key Financial Parameters of 50 MW Wind Power Plant Investment in Ukraine 74
    Table 7: Key Financial Viability Indicators of 50 MW Wind Power Plant Investment in Ukraine (IRR, NPV, Payback, Benefit-Cost) 75
    Table 8: Project Costs and Savings (Income) Summary of 50 MW Wind Power Plant Investment in Ukraine 75
    Table 9: Yearly Cash Flows of 50 MW Wind Power Plant Investment in Ukraine (Pre-tax, After-tax, Cumulative) 76
    Table 10: Wind Turbine Prices in 2019 79
    Table 11: Feed-in-tariffs for Electricity from Renewable Energy Sources (RES) in Ukraine 99
    Table 12: Local Content Requirements for Wind Power Plants in Ukraine 101

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