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Ukraine Wind Power Market Outlook 2020 - 2030

Ukraine Wind Power Market: Outlook 2020÷2030 - Single User

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Description

This market report offers an incisive and reliable overview of the wind energy sector of the country for the period 2020 - 2030...

Update: March, 2020
Format: 1 file(s) (PDF report) in English language and 1 file(s) in MS Excel with data from charts and tables
Author: Renewable Market WatchTM
Pages: 128
Report production №:
RMWIN3492020221
Delivery:
Up to 24 hours by e-mail
Subscription: In the report price is included subscription for 1 year period with 4 qurterly updates

  • This market report offers an incisive and reliable overview of the wind sector of the country. By the end of 2009 cumulative installed wind capacity in the country was insignificant, but grew up to 621 MW in 2018. The report provides a complete picture of the market situation, dynamics, current issues and future prospects. You will find more than 125 pages of valuable information in this unique in-depth analysis of the Ukrainian wind market and will receive overview how the COVID-19 (Coronavirus) will impact it.

    With comprehensive market data this report brings clear and concise insights, to help investors in their decision making process. As 2018 and 2019 were challenging years for wind industry, the time for taking riisions during 2020 is limited. Significant progress achieved in wind power sector development has made Ukraine an undoubted industry leader among the CIS countries by the end of February 2014. After that political turmoil in Ukraine changed the picture in CIS region and more complex overview of wind power sector in the country is necessary. Fast changing market environment, requires relevant and accurate information. For your convenience we offer opportunity for orders with customized report content. Reasons to buy this market report are, but no limited to:

    • Overview of the Ukrainian political and economic environment
    • Wind resource potential in Ukraine
    • Financial Model and Analysis of 50 MW Wind Power Plant investment in Ukraine (IRR, WACC, Payback, NPV, Cash Flow, etc.)
    • Over 55 charts, tables and maps
    • Overview of Ukrainian wind market development 2010 ÷ 2030
    • Grid connected wind power installations for 2019/2020
    • Future market trends and planned wind projects for 2020 ÷ 2030
    • Market prices of fully permitted and operational wind projects
    • Ukrainian legal and energy regulatory framework for renewable projects
    • Key companies and competitive landscape in wind sector
    • Review of most relevant financing and supporting incentives
    • SWOT Analysis (detailed in 5 pages)

    At next pages you will see the full table of content of this report. To order this report just click on the button "ADD TO CART". If you have any other questions please do not hesitate to call us on ++44 203 60 80 138 or write an e-mail to orders@renewablemarketwatch.com

  • TABLE OF CONTENTS 3
    FOREWORD 7
    1 METHODOLOGY AND LIMITATIONS 8
    1.1 Research Methodology 8
    1.2 Limitations 9
    2 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 10
    2.1 Historical and Current Development Overview of Wind Power Market in Ukraine 10
    2.2 Ukraine Wind Resource Potential 10
    2.3 Renewable Energy Sources (RES) Policies and Targets 11
    2.4 Key Stakeholders Affecting Wind Power Market Development in Ukraine 11
    2.5 Market Drivers and Constraints 11
    2.6 Recent and Pending Changes in Renewable Energy Law in Ukraine 12
    2.7 Market Forecast Summary 12
    3 UKRAINE POLITICAL AND ECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT. PEST ANALYSIS 13
    3.1 Basic Country Data 13
    3.2 Political Climate and Ruling Party 17
    3.3 GDP and Economic Growth 17
    3.4 Taxes 20
    3.4.1 VAT 21
    3.4.2 Income and Corporate Taxes 21
    3.4.3 Exemption of excise duty 22
    4 CENTRAL-EAST EUROPE (CEE) AND SOUTH-EAST EUROPE (SEE) POWER MARKET 23
    4.1 General Electricity Market information 23
    4.2 Wind Power in the Energy Sector 29
    4.3 Single Electricity Market 32
    5 CENTRAL-EAST EUROPE (CEE) AND SOUTH-EAST EUROPE (SEE) WIND POWER MARKET 35
    5.1 Market Overview 35
    5.2 Cumulative Installed Wind Capacity and Revenue 36
    5.3 Annual Installed Wind Capacity 38
    5.4 Future Development Trends 38
    6 UKRAINE POWER MARKET 40
    6.1 Electricity Transmission and Distribution 40
    6.2 Electricity Consumption and Generation 42
    6.3 Electricity Imports and Exports 46
    6.4 Electricity Prices for Business and Households 47
    6.5 Renewable Energy Sources (RES) Targets 48
    7 UKRAINE WIND POWER MARKET 50
    7.1 Why Invest in Wind Power in Ukraine? 50
    7.2 Ukraine Wind Resource Potential 51
    7.3 Licensing Period Duration 52
    7.4 Regional Substation Capacities for Wind Power Projects in Ukraine 53
    7.5 Overview of Wind Power Market in Ukraine 54
    7.6 Market Structure Analysis 55
    7.7 Investment Trends and Development Roadmap 56
    7.8 Competitive Environment in Wind Power Market 57
    7.9 Profiles of Key Players and Investors in Wind Power Market 58
    7.10 Cumulative Installed Wind Capacity and Revenue 60
    7.11 Annual Installed Wind Capacity 62
    7.12 Market Prices for Wind Power Projects in Ukraine in Development, Ready to Build and Operational (Grid Connected) Condition 62
    7.13 Key Cost Structure Elements of Wind Power Plant in Ukraine 63
    7.14 Levelized Cost of Energy (LCOE) for Wind Power in Ukraine 64
    7.15 Key Wind Power Projects in Ukraine Under Development 65
    7.16 Mergers and Acquisitions 68
    8 DRIVERS AND CONSTRAINTS OF WIND MARKET IN UKRAINE. SWOT ANALYSIS 69
    8.1 Market Drivers 69
    8.2 Market Drivers Explained 69
    8.3 Market Constraints 70
    8.4 Market Constraints Explained 70
    8.5 SWOT Analysis 71
    9 FINANCIAL ANALYSIS OF WIND MARKET IN UKRAINE 75
    9.1 Financing Options of Wind Power Projects in Ukraine 75
    9.2 Financial Model and Analysis of 50 MW Wind Power Plant investment in Ukraine (IRR, WACC, Payback, NPV, Cash Flow, ETC.) 80
    10 TECHNOLOGY ANALYSIS 85
    10.1 Wind Technology Overview 85
    10.2 Technology Trends 86
    11 EUROPEAN RENEWABLE ENERGY POLICY LANDSCAPE 88
    11.1 RES Regulations and EU Directives 88
    11.1.1 Precedent EU regulations 88
    11.1.2 Most recent EU renewable energy policy developments 89
    12 UKRAINE RENEWABLE ENERGY SOURCES (RES) LEGAL AND REGULATORY FRAMEWORK 90
    12.1 Main Laws and Regulations 90
    12.2 Support Schemes 91
    12.3 Green Certificates Trading 91
    12.4 Changes in Renewable Energy Law in Ukraine in 2020 92
    12.5 Auction (Tender) Procedure for Wind Power Plants in Ukraine 95
    12.6 Zoning, Planning and Construction Related Authorizations 96
    12.7 Environmental Related Authorizations 96
    12.7.1 Emerald Network and Environment Protected Areas 97
    12.7.2 Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) and Joint Implementation (JI) 98
    12.8 Energy Law Authorizations 98
    12.8.1 Power Generation Licensing and Unlicensed Power Generation Below 1 MW 98
    12.8.2 Grid Interconnection 99
    12.8.3 Feed-in Tariff (FIT) 101
    12.8.4 Power Off-Take for Green Certificates 102
    12.8.5 Power Off-Take under Auction (Tender) Scheme 103
    12.8.6 Registers for Green Certificates (Guarantees of Origin) 103
    12.9 Future Market Pricing Mechanisms 104
    13 KEY STAKEHOLDERS AFFECTING WIND POWER MARKET DEVELOPMENT IN UKRAINE 105
    13.1 Government Stakeholders 105
    13.2 Non-Government Stakeholders 109
    13.3 Electricity Generation, Transmission System Operator (TSO) and Distribution System Operators (DSO’s) 110
    14 CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS 118
    15 LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS 120
    16 REFERENCES 122
    17 DISCLAIMER 124
    APPENDIX I. WIND RESOURCE MAPS OF EUROPE AND UKRAINE 125

  • Map 1: Where is Ukraine on the European Map 13
    Map 2: Ukraine Road Network 14
    Map 3: Ukraine Administrative Regions Map 16
    Map 4: Ukraine Electricity Grids Network 41
    Map 5: Ukraine Wind Resource Map at 80 m.a.g.l. 51
    MAP 6: Ukraine Natura 2000 Areas Map 97
    MAP 7: Global Mean Wind Speed at 80 m.a.g.l. 125
    Map 8: European Wind Atlas 126
    Map 9: Unrestricted technical potential for onshore wind energy in the EU countries up to 2030, based on estimated 80 m.a.g.l average wind speeds (incl. Ukraine) 127

    Chart 1: Ukraine Real GDP Growth for the Period 2010 ÷ 2030 in % (including forecast) 18
    Chart 2: Ukraine GDP Growth Compared to EU-27 for the Period 2010 ÷ 2030 in % (including forecast) 19
    Chart 3: Corporate Tax Income in Selected Central-East Europe (CEE) and South-East Europe (SEE) Countries 21
    Chart 4: Physical Energy Flows Values in GW in Central-East Europe (CEE) and South-East Europe (SEE) in 2019 24
    Chart 5: Breakdown of Electricity Production by Source Type in the EU-28 in 2019 (in %) 26
    Chart 6: Average Base Load Electricity Price in Selected European Countries (€/MWh): 2010 – 2020; Renewable Market WatchTM 27
    Chart 7: Forecast for RES Generation Capacity by Source Type in the EU to 2020 and 2030 (in GW) 28
    Chart 8: New Installed and Decommissioned Power Capacity by Source Type in the EU in 2019 (MW) 29
    Chart 9: Age of Power Plants in Europe in 2019 30
    Chart 10: Share of New Power Generation Capacities Added in the EU 28 in 2019 (MW) 31
    Chart 11: Annual Installed Power Generating Capacity (MW) and Renewable Share (in %) 2009 – 2019 in the EU 32
    Chart 12: Number of Filled Patents for Wind Technologies in CEE & SEE Countries 2009 – 2019 35
    Chart 13: Cumulative Installed Capacity of Wind Power Plants (in MW) in Central-East Europe (CEE) and South-East Europe (SEE) 2010 ÷ 2030, including forecast 36
    Chart 14: Cumulative Revenue of Wind Power Plants (in Millions USD) in Central-East Europe (CEE) and South-East Europe (SEE) 2010 ÷ 2030, including forecast 37
    Chart 15: Annual Installed Capacity of Wind Power Plants (in MW) in Central-East Europe (CEE) and South-East Europe (SEE) 2010 ÷ 2030, including forecast 38
    Chart 16: Ukraine Power Market Structure 40
    Chart 17: Share of RES electricity from Total Installed Power Capacity in Ukraine in 2019 43
    Chart 18: Ukraine Total Annual Electricity Consumption (in TWh) 2009 ÷ 2019 44
    Chart 19: Ukraine Power Generation Capacity Breakdown by Source (Fuel) Type in 2019 45
    Chart 20: Electricity Imports and Exports in Ukraine 2010 ÷ 2030 (in million kWh) including forecast 47
    Chart 21: Ukraine Targets for Renewable Energy Sources by 2030 (in %) set by National Renewable Energy Action Plan (NREAP) 49
    Chart 22: Chart: Number of Filled Patents for Wind Technologies in Ukraine 2009 – 2019 57
    Chart 23: Cumulative Installed Capacity of Wind Power Plants in Ukraine (in MW) 2010 ÷ 2030, including forecast 60
    Chart 24: Cumulative Revenue of Wind Power Plants in Ukraine (in Millions EUR) 2010 ÷ 2030, including forecast 61
    Chart 25: Annual Installed Capacity of Wind Power Plants in Ukraine (in MW) 2010 ÷ 2030, including forecast 62
    Chart 26: Levelized Cost of Energy (LCOE) for Wind Power and Other Renewable Technologies in Ukraine by 2030 (in €) 64
    Chart 27: Ukrainian SEFF Structure 76
    Chart 28: Cumulative Cash Flows and Break-Even Point of 50 MW Wind Power Plant Investment in Ukraine 83
    Chart 29: Wind Turbine Price Evolution (€/kW) 2010 ÷ 2020 86
    Chart 30: Market Shares by Sales of the Distribution System Operators (DSOs) in Ukraine in 2019 110

    Table 1: Electricity Prices for Business and Households 48
    Table 2: Support Schemes for RES Generation in the EU Countries and Ukraine 50
    Table 3: Market Prices for Wind Projects in Ukraine for 2020 ÷ 2030 in Development, Ready to Build and Operational (Grid Connected) Condition (2020 Update) 63
    Table 4: Key Cost Structure Elements of Wind Power Plant in Ukraine in 2020 64
    Table 5: Database with Major Operational, Under Construction and Planned Wind Projects in Ukraine 66
    Table 6: Key Financial Parameters of 50 MW Wind Power Plant Investment in Ukraine 81
    Table 7: Key Financial Viability Indicators of 50 MW Wind Power Plant Investment in Ukraine (IRR, NPV, Payback, Benefit-Cost) 81
    Table 8: Project Costs and Savings (Income) Summary of 5 MW Wind Power Plant Investment in Ukraine 82
    Table 9: Yearly Cash Flows of 50 MW Wind Power Plant Investment in Ukraine (Pre-tax, After-tax, Cumulative) 83
    Table 10: Wind Turbine Price Trend in 2020 87

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