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Central East and South East Europe Wind Power Market Outlook 2024 - 2033

Central East and South East Europe Wind Power Market Outlook 2024÷2033 - Single User

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This market report offers an incisive and reliable overview of the wind energy sector of Central East and South-East Europe for the period 2024 ÷ 2033...

Update: January 2024
Format: 1 file(s) (PDF report) in English language and 1 MS Excel file(s) with data for charts and tables
Author: Renewable Market WatchTM
Pages: 342
Report production №:
RMWIN34920202462
Delivery:
24 - 48 hours by e-mail
Subscription: In the report price is included a subscription for 1 year period with up to 4 quarterly updates

  

  • This market report offers an incisive and reliable overview of the wind energy sector of Central East Europe (CEE) and South-East Europe (SEE) countries (including Turkey and Ukraine) for the next long-term period, 2024 ÷ 2033. Newly installed wind capacity in this region will exceed XXX GW in the next 5 years. The number of fully permitted and ready-to-build projects is promptly increasing. The small wind market segment for turbines below 500 KW in many countries is not developed and is forecasted to score significant growth shortly.

    The report provides a complete picture of the market situation, dynamics, risks, current issues and prospects. You will find more than 180 pages of valuable information in this unique, in-depth analysis of Central East Europe (CEE) and South East Europe (SEE) countries wind power market will receive an overview of how the COVID-19 (Coronavirus) recovery and recent intention of the EU Commission to reduce by two-thirds this year gas import from Russia will impact it. With comprehensive market data, this report brings clear and concise insights to help investors, manufacturers and service providers in their decision-making process. As 2021 and 2022 were challenging years for the wind industry, the time for making the right decisions during 2023 and the next few years is limited. A fast-changing market environment requires relevant and accurate information. For your convenience, we offer the opportunity for orders with customized book content. Reasons to buy this market report are, but are not limited to:

    • Wind resource potential in Central East Europe (CEE) and South East Europe (SEE) countries
    • Historical market data provided from 2013 to 2023 and forecasts until 2033
    • Overview of Central East Europe (CEE) and South East Europe (SEE) wind energy market development 2013 ÷ 2033 by countries
    • Development scenario of Central East Europe (CEE) and South East Europe (SEE) countries wind power sector until 2033
    • Major active and upcoming wind power plants in Central East Europe (CEE) and South East Europe (SEE) countries
    • Attractiveness indices for wind energy investments in Central East Europe (CEE) and South East Europe (SEE) countries
    • SWOT Analysis (detailed in 5 pages)
    • Overview of Central East Europe (CEE) and South East Europe (SEE) legal and regulatory framework for RES generation by countries
    • Competitive Landscape, Project developers and Investors in Central East Europe (CEE) and South East Europe (SEE) countries
    • EPC & O&M providers, Equipment manufacturers and Consultants in Central East Europe (CEE) and South East Europe (SEE) countries
    • Key organizations and stakeholders affecting the development of the wind sector by countries
    • A comprehensive review of innovative grid development in Central East Europe (CEE) and South East Europe (SEE) countries
    • Investment Potential and Opportunities

    On the next pages, you will see the full table of contents of this report. To order this report, click "ADD TO CART". If you have any other questions, please do not hesitate to call us on ++44 203 807 00 79 or write an e-mail to orders@renewablemarketwatch.com


  • TABLE OF CONTENTS
    1. METHODOLOGY 9
    1.1. Methodology 9
    1.2. Forecast Software and Methodology 11
    1.2.1. Purpose 11
    1.2.2. Description 11
    1.2.3. Input data 12
    1.2.4. Output data 12
    1.3. Limitations 13
    2. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 14
    2.1. Primary Wind Resource Availability 14
    2.2. Renewable Energy Sources (RES) Policies and Targets in Central East and South East Europe 14
    2.3. Risks Associated with Wind Projects 14
    2.4. Future Market Trends 15
    3. EUROPEAN UNION RENEWABLE ENERGY POLICY LANDSCAPE 16
    3.1. Renewable Energy Sources (RES) Regulations and EU Directives Affecting European Countries 16
    3.1.1. Precedent EU Regulations 16
    3.2. Renewable Energy Mandatory Targets for European Countries set out by the European Commission (EC) 17
    3.2.1. Interim Targets Set out by the EU 17
    3.2.2. National Support Schemes Flexibility Allowed by the EU and Progress Reporting 18
    3.3. Energy Community (EC) Treaty 19
    3.4. EU 2030 Framework for Climate and Energy Policies 20
    3.5. European Union Energy Roadmap 2050 23
    3.6. NATURA 2000 Network 25
    3.7. European Green Deal 26
    3.8. REPowerEU Plan 28
    4. CENTRAL EAST AND SOUTH EAST EUROPE COUNTRIES ENERGY MARKET 34
    4.1. General Electricity Market Information 34
    4.2. Wind in the Energy Sector 41
    4.3. Single Electricity Market in European Union (EU) 45
    5. CENTRAL EAST AND SOUTH EAST EUROPE COUNTRIES WIND RESOURCE POTENTIAL AND MAPPING 47
    6. GLOBAL WIND POWER MARKET 49
    6.1. Wind Turbines and Wind Power Plant Cost 49
    6.2. Market Overview 53
    6.3. Wind Turbine Manufacturers Market Shares 56
    6.4. Future Development Trends 58
    7. CENTRAL EAST AND SOUTH EAST EUROPE COUNTRIES WIND POWER MARKET 62
    7.1. Support Schemes for Renewable Energy Sources (RES) Generation in Central East and South East Europe 62
    7.2. Market Overview 63
    7.3. Future Development Trends 68
    8. COUNTRY PROFILES 72
    8.1. ALBANIA 72
    8.2. AUSTRIA 75
    8.3. BOSNIA AND HERZEGOVINA 79
    8.4. BULGARIA 82
    8.5. CROATIA 85
    8.6. CYPRUS 89
    8.7. CZECH REPUBLIC 92
    8.8. ESTONIA 95
    8.9. GREECE 97
    8.10. HUNGARY 101
    8.11. KOSOVO 104
    8.12. LATVIA 106
    8.13. LITHUANIA 108
    8.14. MACEDONIA NORTH 111
    8.15. MONTENEGRO 113
    8.16. POLAND 115
    8.17. ROMANIA 120
    8.18. SERBIA 122
    8.19. SLOVAK REPUBLIC (SLOVAKIA) 125
    8.20. SLOVENIA 128
    8.21. TURKEY 131
    8.22. UKRAINE 136
    9. COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS OF FEED-IN TARIFFS AND SUPPORT SCHEMES FOR WIND ENERGY IN CENTRAL EAST AND SOUTH EAST EUROPE COUNTRIES 140
    10. COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS OF MANDATORY RENEWABLE ENERGY CAPACITY GENERATION TARGETS IN CENTRAL EAST AND SOUTH EAST EUROPE 142
    11. ELECTRICITY GRID NETWORK IN CENTRAL EAST AND SOUTH EAST EUROPE COUNTRIES 144
    11.1. Transmission System Operators (TSOs) 144
    11.2. Distribution System Operators (DSO’s) 148
    11.3. Grid Connection Constraints 153
    12. SMART GRID DEVELOPMENT IN CENTRAL EAST AND SOUTH EAST EUROPE COUNTRIES AS A KEY FACTOR FOR WIND POWER MARKET GROWTH 154
    12.1. Smart Grid and Super Smart Grid Concept 154
    12.2. Smart Grid Support Initiatives in Central East and South East Europe Countries 156
    13. COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE. PROJECT DEVELOPERS AND INVESTORS IN CENTRAL EAST AND SOUTH EAST EUROPE COUNTRIES WIND POWER MARKET 159
    14. COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE. EPC COMPANIES, EQUIPMENT MANUFACTURERS, AND CONSULTANTS IN CENTRAL EAST AND SOUTH EAST EUROPE COUNTRIES WIND POWER MARKET 162
    15. SWOT ANALYSIS OF CENTRAL EAST AND SOUTH EAST EUROPE COUNTRIES WIND POWER MARKET 165
    16. RISKS ABOUT INVESTMENTS IN CENTRAL EAST AND SOUTH EAST EUROPE COUNTRIES WIND POWER MARKET 169
    16.1. Regulatory Risk 169
    16.2. Permits 170
    16.3. Competition within the Wind Industry 170
    16.4. Insurance Risk 171
    16.5. Force Majeure Risk 171
    16.6. Dependency on Suppliers 171
    16.7. Construction 171
    16.8. Technology Risk 172
    16.9. Operation and Maintenance Risk 172
    16.10. Market Price of Electricity 172
    17. INVESTMENT TRENDS, POTENTIAL AND OPPORTUNITIES IN CENTRAL EAST AND SOUTH EAST EUROPE COUNTRIES WIND POWER MARKET 173
    18. CONCLUSIONS 176
    19. LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS 178
    20. REFERENCES 182
    21. DISCLAIMER 183
    22. APPENDIX I. WIND MAPS OF EUROPE AND CENTRAL EAST AND SOUTH EAST EUROPE COUNTRIES 184

  • MAP 1: Transmission Grids System Map of Europe, ENTSO-E 2023 34
    MAP 2: Exchange Balance of Physical Energy Flow Values in TWh in Europe and Evolution between 2022 and 2023 35
    MAP 3: Share of Renewables from Electricity Consumption in Europe, 2023 (in %) 39
    MAP 4: Wind Resource Potential of Central East and South East Europe 47
    MAP 5: The European Network of Transmission System Operators (TSOs) for Electricity (ENTSO-E), 2023 144
    MAP 6: Map of RWE Group Operations in Central East and South East Europe 150
    MAP 7: Map of CEZ Group Operations in Central East and South East Europe 151
    Map 8: Wind Speed Map of Central East and South East Europe Countries at 100 m.a.g.l 184


    Chart 1: Average Base Load Electricity Price in Selected European Countries (€/MWh): 2013 - 2023; Renewable Market WatchTM 37
    Chart 2: Forecast for RES Generation Capacity by Source Type in the EU to 2023 and 2033 (in GW) 40
    Chart 3: New Installed and Decommissioned Power Capacity by Source Type in the EU in 2023 (MW), WindEurope 42
    Chart 4: Share of New Power Generation Capacities Added in the EU 27 in 2023 (MW), WindEurope 43
    Chart 5: Annual Installed Power Generating Capacity (MW) and Renewable Share (in %) 2013 – 2023 in the EU, WindEurope 44
    Chart 6: Net Installed and Decommissioned Power Generation Capacity in the EU 27 for 2023 (GW), WindEurope 44
    Chart 7: Historical and Forecasted Utility Wind System Pricing (EUR/KW) 2019 ÷ 2023 50
    Chart 8: Average Wind Turbine Price in Germany 2013 – 2023 (in EUR/KW); Source: RENEWABLE MARKET WATCHTM 52
    Chart 9: Wind Turbine Manufacturers Market Shares (in % and in MW) 57
    Chart 10: Global Installed Renewable Energy Capacity 2012 - 2040 in GW; IEA World Energy Outlook 2014 59
    Chart 11: Global Cumulative Installed Wind Capacity 2013 - 2033  in MW 60
    Chart 12: European Annual Wind Market Forecast 2013 - 2033  (in MW), SolarPower Europe, Renewable Market Watch 66
    Chart 13: Cumulative Development Forecast of Wind Capacity in Europe 2013 - 2033  (in MW), including estimates 69
    Chart 14: Cumulative Investment Volume Forecast in Wind Capacity in Central East and South East Europe 2013 - 2033  (in Millions EUR), including estimates 70
    Chart 15: Cumulative Development Forecast of Wind Capacity in Albania 2013 - 2033  (in MW), including estimates; Renewable Market WatchTM; 73
    Chart 16: Cumulative Investment Volume in Wind Capacity in Albania 2013 - 2033  (in Millions EUR), including estimates; Renewable Market WatchTM 74
    Chart 17: Cumulative Development Forecast of Wind Capacity in Austria 2013 - 2033  (in MW), including estimates; Renewable Market WatchTM 77
    Chart 18: Cumulative Investment Volume in Wind Capacity in Austria 2013 - 2033  (in Millions EUR), including estimates; Renewable Market WatchTM 78
    Chart 19: Cumulative Development Forecast of Wind Capacity in Bosnia and Herzegovina 2013 - 2033  (in MW), including estimates; Renewable Market WatchTM 80
    Chart 20: Cumulative Investment Volume in Wind Capacity in Bosnia and Herzegovina 2000 - 2028 (in Millions EUR), including estimates; Renewable Market WatchTM 81
    Chart 21: Cumulative Development Forecast of Wind Capacity in Bulgaria 2013 - 2033  (in MW), including estimates; Renewable Market WatchTM 83
    Chart 22: Cumulative Investment Volume in Wind Capacity in Bulgaria 2013 - 2033  (in Millions EUR), including estimates 84
    Chart 23: Cumulative Development Forecast of Wind Capacity in Croatia 2013 - 2033  (in MW), including estimates; Renewable Market WatchTM 87
    Chart 24: Cumulative Investment Volume in Wind Capacity in Croatia 2013 - 2033  (in Millions EUR), including estimates; Renewable Market WatchTM 88
    Chart 25: Cumulative Development Forecast of Wind Capacity in Cyprus 2013 - 2033  (in MW), including estimates; Renewable Market WatchTM 90
    Chart 26: Cumulative Investment Volume Wind Capacity in Cyprus 2013 - 2033  (in Millions EUR), including estimates; Renewable Market WatchTM 91
    Chart 27: Cumulative Development Forecast of Wind Capacity in the Czech Republic 2013 - 2033  (in MW), including estimates; Renewable Market WatchTM 93
    Chart 28: Cumulative Investment Volume in Wind Capacity in the Czech Republic 2013 - 2033  (in Millions EUR), including estimates; Renewable Market WatchTM 94
    Chart 29: Cumulative Development Forecast of Wind Capacity in Estonia 2013 - 2033  (in MW), including estimates; Renewable Market WatchTM 95
    Chart 30: Cumulative Investment Volume in Wind Capacity in Estonia 2013 - 2033  (in Millions EUR), including estimates; Renewable Market WatchTM 96
    Chart 31: Cumulative Development Forecast of Wind Capacity in Greece 2013 - 2033  (in MW), including estimates; Renewable Market WatchTM 99
    Chart 32: Cumulative Investment Volume in Wind Capacity in Greece 2013 - 2033  (in Millions EUR), including estimates; Renewable Market WatchTM 100
    Chart 33: Cumulative Development Forecast of Wind Capacity in Hungary 2013 - 2033  (in MW), including estimates; Renewable Market WatchTM 101
    Chart 34: Cumulative Investment Volume in Wind Capacity in Hungary 2013 - 2033  (in Millions EUR), including estimates; Renewable Market WatchTM 103
    Chart 35: Cumulative Development Forecast of Wind Capacity in Kosovo 2013 - 2033  (in MW), including estimates; Renewable Market WatchTM 104
    Chart 36: Cumulative Investment Volume in Wind Capacity in Kosovo 2013 - 2033  (in Millions EUR), including estimates; Renewable Market WatchTM 105
    Chart 37: Cumulative Development Forecast of Wind Capacity in Latvia 2013 - 2033  (in MW), including estimates; Renewable Market WatchTM 107
    Chart 38: Cumulative Investment Volume in Wind Capacity in Latvia 2013 - 2033  (in Millions EUR), including estimates; Renewable Market WatchTM 107
    Chart 39: Cumulative Development Forecast of Wind Capacity in Lithuania 2013 - 2033  (in MW), including estimates; Renewable Market WatchTM 108
    Chart 40: Cumulative Investment Volume in Wind Capacity in Lithuania 2013 - 2033  (in Millions EUR), including estimates; Renewable Market WatchTM 109
    Chart 41: Cumulative Development Forecast of Wind Capacity in Macedonia 2013 - 2033  (in MW), including estimates; Renewable Market WatchTM 112
    Chart 42: Cumulative Investment Volume in Wind Capacity in Macedonia 2013 - 2033  (in Millions EUR), including estimates; Renewable Market WatchTM 112
    Chart 43: Cumulative Development Forecast of Wind Capacity in Montenegro 2013 - 2033  (in MW), including estimates; Renewable Market WatchTM 113
    Chart 44: Cumulative Investment Volume in Wind Capacity in Montenegro 2013 - 2033  (in Millions EUR), including estimates; Renewable Market WatchTM 114
    Chart 45: Cumulative Development Forecast of Wind Capacity in Poland 2013 - 2033  (in MW), including estimates; Renewable Market WatchTM 115
    Chart 46: Reference Auction Price for New Renewable Energy Power Plants in Poland ≥ 1 MW in 2021 118
    Chart 47: Cumulative Investment Volume in Wind Capacity in Poland 2013 - 2033  (in Millions EUR), including estimates; Renewable Market WatchTM 119
    Chart 48: Cumulative Development Forecast of Wind Capacity in Romania 2013 - 2033  (in MW), including estimates; Renewable Market WatchTM 120
    Chart 49: Cumulative Investment Volume in Wind Capacity in Romania 2013 - 2033  (in Millions EUR), including estimates; Renewable Market WatchTM 121
    Chart 50: Cumulative Development Forecast of Wind Capacity in Serbia 2013 - 2033  (in MW), including estimates; Renewable Market WatchTM 122
    Chart 51: Cumulative Investment Volume in Wind Capacity in Serbia 2013 - 2033  (in Millions EUR), including estimates; Renewable Market WatchTM 124
    Chart 52: Cumulative Development Forecast of Wind Capacity in Slovakia 2013 - 2033  (in MW), including estimates; Renewable Market WatchTM 125
    Chart 53: Cumulative Investment Volume in Wind Capacity in Slovakia 2013 - 2033  (in Millions EUR), including estimates; Renewable Market WatchTM 127
    Chart 54: Cumulative Development Forecast of Wind Capacity in Slovenia 2013 - 2033  (in MW), including estimates; Renewable Market WatchTM 128
    Chart 55: Cumulative Investment Volume in Wind Capacity in Slovenia 2013 - 2033  (in Millions EUR), including estimates; Renewable Market WatchTM 130
    Chart 56: Cumulative Development Forecast of Wind Capacity in Turkey 2013 - 2033  (in MW), including estimates; Renewable Market WatchTM 131
    Chart 57: Cumulative Investment Volume in Wind Capacity in Turkey 2013 - 2033  (in Millions EUR), including estimates; Renewable Market WatchTM 133
    Chart 58: The map setting out TEİAŞ’s regional limits to the electrical capacity increases for 2019 134
    Chart 59: Cumulative Development Forecast of Wind Capacity in Ukraine 2013 - 2033  (in MW), including estimates; Renewable Market WatchTM 136
    Chart 60: Cumulative Investment Volume in Wind Capacity in Ukraine 2013 - 2033  (in Millions EUR), including estimates; Renewable Market WatchTM 139
    Chart 61: Mandatory Capacity Generation Targets for Share of Renewable Energies in Central East and South East Europe Countries by 2030 142
    Chart 62: Forecast for Total Net Generation Capacity in the EU by Source Type by 2030 147
    Chart 63: Smart Grid Model Concept 155
    Chart 64: Cumulative Number of Smart Grid Projects in Selected Central East and South East European Countries Compared to Average EU Number and Budget Invested (in € million) 2022 156
    Chart 65: Cumulative Budget (in € million) of Smart Grid Projects per Smart Grid Application in Selected Central East and South East Europe countries Compared to Average EU Numbers 2022 157

    Table 1: Wind Turbine Price Trend in 2023 51
    Table 2: Top 5 Countries by Newly Installed Wind Capacity in MW in 2023 56
    Table 3: Support Schemes for Renewable Energy Sources (RES) Generation in Central East and South East Europe 62
    Table 4: European Wind Markets Split 2013 – 2023 (in MW and GW), IEA PVPS, SolarPower Europe 64
    Table 6: Feed-in-tariffs for Wind Energy in Albania 73
    Table 7: Feed-in-tariffs for Wind Energy in Austria 76
    Table 8: Feed-in-tariffs and Support Schemes for Wind Energy in Bosnia and Herzegovina 79
    Table 9: Feed-in-tariffs and Support Schemes for Wind Energy in Bulgaria 82
    Table 10: Feed-in-tariffs and Support Schemes for Wind Energy in Croatia 86
    Table 11: Feed-in-tariffs and Support Schemes for Wind Energy in Cyprus 89
    Table 12: Feed-in-tariffs and Support Schemes for Wind Energy in the Czech Republic 92
    Table 13: Feed-in-tariffs and Support Schemes for Wind Energy in Estonia; Renewable Market WatchTM 96
    Table 14: Feed-in-tariffs and Support Schemes for Wind Energy in Greece 97
    Table 15: Feed-in-tariffs and Support Schemes for Wind Energy in Greece 98
    Table 16: Feed-in-tariffs and Support Schemes for Wind Energy in Hungary 102
    Table 17: Feed-in-tariffs and Support Schemes for Wind Energy in Kosovo 105
    Table 18: Feed-in-tariffs and Support Schemes for Wind Energy in Latvia 106
    Table 19: Feed-in-tariffs and Support Schemes for Wind Energy in Lithuania 109
    Table 20: Feed-in-tariffs and Support Schemes for Wind Energy in FYR of Macedonia 111
    Table 21: Feed-in-tariffs and Support Schemes for Wind Energy in Montenegro 114
    Table 22: Feed-in-tariffs and Support Schemes for Wind Energy in Poland 117
    Table 23: Green Certificates, Feed-in-tariffs and Support Schemes for Wind Energy in Romania 121
    Table 24: Feed-in-tariffs and Support Schemes for Wind Energy in Serbia 123
    Table 25: Feed-in-tariffs and Support Schemes for Wind Energy in Slovakia 126
    Table 26: Feed-in-tariffs and Support Schemes for Wind Energy in Slovenia 130
    Table 27: Feed-in-tariffs and Support Schemes for Wind Energy in Turkey 132
    Table 28: Additional Incentives to Feed-in-tariffs for Electricity from Wind Sources in Turkey for Domestic Procurement 133
    Table 29: Feed-in-tariffs and Support Schemes for Wind Energy in Ukraine 137
    Table 30: Local Content (Local Procurement) Requirements for Renewable Power Plants in Ukraine 138
    Table 31: Feed-in-tariffs and Support Schemes for Wind Energy in Central East and South East Europe Countries. Comparative Analysis 2023 140
    Table 32: Grid Connection and Access Regimes in the European Union (EU), 2023; ENTSO-E 145
    Table 33: List of TSOs in Selected Central East and South East Europe Countries, 2023; ENTSO-E 147
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